已发表论文

1. “A Note on Second Best Conditions for Public Goods,” (with R. Nelson), Public Finance, 1,
(1972).
2. “Empirical Evidence on the Functional Form of the Earnings-Schooling Relationship,” (with
S. Polachek), Journal of the American Statistical Association, (June 1974), 69(346), 350-
354. Also, NBER, mimeo (October 1972).
3. “The Estimation of Income and Substitution Effects in a Model of Family Labor Supply,”
(with O. Ashenfelter), Econometrica, (January 1974), 42(1), 73-86. Presented at the Econo-
metric Society Winter Meetings, (1971).
4. “Shadow Prices, Market Wages and Labor Supply,” Econometrica, (July 1974) 42(4): 679–
94.
5. “The Effect of Day Care Programs onWomen’sWork Effort,” Journal of Political Economy,
(March/April 1974). Reprinted in T.W. Schultz (ed.), Economics of the Family: Marriage,
Children, and Human Capital, (University of Chicago Press, 1974), 491-518.
6. “Life Cycle Consumption and Labor Supply: An Explanation of the Relationship Between
Income and Consumption over the Life Cycle,” American Economic Review, (March 1974).
7. “A Stochastic Model of Reproduction: An Econometric Approach,” (with R. Willis), Papers
and Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, Social Statistics Section, 1974.
8. “Estimating Labor Supply Functions,” (with O. Ashenfelter), in G. Cain and H.Watts (eds.),
Labor Supply and Income Maintenance, (Chicago: Markham Publishing Company, 1974).
9. “Measuring the Effect of an Antidiscrimination Program,” (with O. Ashenfelter), July 1974
mimeo, in Evaluating The LaborMarket Effects of Social Programs, (Princeton, N.J.: Prince-
ton University Press, 1975). Presented at the American Economic AssociationWinter Meet-
ings, 1972.
10. “Estimation of a Stochastic Model of Reproduction: An Econometric Approach,” (with R.
Willis), in N. Terleckyj (ed.), Household Production and Consumption, 40, 99-145, (New
York: Columbia University Press, 1976). Presented at the Conference on Research in Income
and Wealth, Washington, D.C., November 1973.
1211. “Simultaneous Equation Models with both Continuous and Discrete Endogenous Variables
With and Without Structural Shift in the Equations,” in Goldfeld and Quandt (eds.), Studies
in Nonlinear Estimation, Ballinger, (1976).
12. “A Life Cycle Model of Earnings, Learning and Consumption,” Journal of Political Econ-
omy, (August 1976), 84(2), pt. 2, S11-S44.
13. “Does The Contract Compliance Program Work?: An Analysis of Chicago Data,” (with K.
Wolpin), Industrial and Labor Relations Review,(Summer 1976). Presented at a Symposium
on the Effect of the Office of Federal Contract Compliance on Minority Status, Cornell
University, May 1975.
14. “The Common Structure of Statistical Models of Truncation, Sample Selection and Limited
Dependent Variables,” Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, (December 1976).
15. “Introduction,” Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Special issue on Discrete,
Qualitative and Limited Dependent Variables, (December, 1976).
16. “New Evidence on the Dynamics of Female Labor Supply,” in E. Andrews and C. Lloyd
(eds.), Women in the Labor Market. Columbia University Press, 1978. Presented at a Labor
Department Conference, “Women in the Labor Market,” Columbia University, September
1977.
17. “A Partial Survey of Recent Research on the Labor Supply of Women,” AEA Papers and
Proceedings, (May 1978). Invited paper, presented to the American Economic Association,
New York, 1977.
18. “An Economic Analysis of the Contract Compliance Program,” Essay in LaborMarket Anal-
ysis and Economic Demography in Memory of Peter Comay, (Halstead, 1977).
19. “The Impact of the Government on the Labor Market Status of Black Americans: A Criti-
cal Review,” (with R. Butler), in L. Hausman, (ed), Equal Rights and Industrial Relations,
Madison, Wisconsin: Industrial Relations Research Association, Ch. 9.
20. “A Beta-LogisticModel For the Analysis of Sequential Labor Force Participation byMarried
Women,” (with R.Willis), Journal of Political Economy, (February 1977), 85(1), 27-58, read
at the Third World Econometric Society Meetings, Toronto, 1975.
21. “Comments on ’The Labor Supply Responses of Wage Earnings in the Rural Negative In-
come Experiment,” in J. Palmer and J. Pechman (eds), The Labor Supply Responses of Wage
Earners in Welfare in Rural Areas: The North Carolina-Iowa Maintenance Experiment,
Brookings, 1977, Presented at the Brookings Conference on Evaluating the Results of the
Rural Negative Income Tax Experiment, Washington, D.C., (January, 1977).
22. “Dummy Endogenous Variables in a Simultaneous Equation System,” Econometrica, (July
1978). Original draft, April 1973. Final draft, April 1977, 46(4), 931-959.
23. “Labor Supply Estimates for Public Policy Evaluation,” (with G. Borjas), Proceedings of
The Industrial and Labor Relations Research Association, Chicago meetings, 1978.
24. “Simple Statistical Models for Discrete Panel Data Developed and Applied to Test the Hy-
pothesis of True State Dependence Against The Hypothesis of Spurious State Dependence,”
Annals de INSEE, Paris, (1978), 227-269, (September, Special Issue).
1325. “Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error,” Econometrica, (February 1979), 47(1),
153-161.
26. “Reply to Mincer and Ofek,” (with R. Willis), Journal of Political Economy, (February
1979).
27. “Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error with an Application to the Estimation of
Labor Supply Functions,” March, 1977 in J. Smith (ed.), Female Labor Supply: Theory and
Estimation, (Princeton University Press, 1980).
28. “Addendum To Sample Selection Bias As A Specification Error,” in E. Stromsdorfer and G.
Farkas, Evaluation Studies Review Annual, Vol. 5, (Sage Publications, 1980), 69-74.
29. “Does Unemployment Cause Future Unemployment? Definitions, Questions and Answers
from a Continuous Time Model of Heterogeneity and State Dependence,” (with G. Borjas).
Special Symposium issue on Unemployment, Economica, (May 1980).
30. “A Life Cycle Model of Female Labour Supply,” (with T. MaCurdy), Review of Economic
Studies, 1980, XLVII, 47-74.
31. “A Life Cycle Model of Family Labor Supply,” in B. Weisbrod and H.Hughes (eds), Hu-
man Resource, Employment and Development, Proceedings of Sixth World Congress, (IEA,
McMillan, 1983).
32. “Statistical Models for Discrete Panel Data,” in C. Manski and D. McFadden (eds.), Struc-
tural Analysis of Discrete Data With Econometric Applications, (M.I.T. Press).
33. “The Incidental Parameters Problem and the Problem of Initial Conditions in Estimating a
Discrete Time-Discrete Data Stochastic Process and Some Monte Carlo Evidence,” read at
the National Bureau of Economic Research Conference on Panel Data, Harvard University,
(August 1978). In C.Manski and D. McFadden (eds.), Structural Analysis of Discrete Data
With Econometric Applications, (M.I.T. Press), (originally scheduled for 1979; due to delays,
published in 1981).
34. “Heterogeneity and State Dependence,” in S. Rosen (ed.), Studies in Labor Markets, (Uni-
versity of Chicago Press, 1981), 91-139.
35. “Current Theoretical and Empirical Studies of Labor Supply: Second Generation Studies,”
(with T. MaCurdy), Research in Labor Economics, (JAI Press Inc., 1981).
36. “Recent Theoretical and Empirical Studies of Labor Supply: A Partial Survey,” with M.
Killingsworth and T. MaCurdy, presented at Oxford, 1979, in Z. Hornstein (ed), Studies of
The Labor Market, HMS Treasury, (1981).
37. “The Impact of the Minimum Wage on the Employment and Earnings of Workers in South
Carolina,” (with Sedlacek), in Vol. 5, Report of the Minimum Wage Study Commission, U.S.
Government Printing Office, 225-272, (June 1981).
38. “Models for the Analysis of Labor Force Dynamics,” (with C. Flinn), Advances in Econo-
metrics, 1, 35-95, (New York: JAI Press, 1982).
39. “The Identification Problem in Econometric Models for Duration Data,” in W. Hildenbrand
(ed), Advances in Econometrics, Proceedings of Fourth World Congress of Econometric
Society, (Cambridge University Press, 1982).
1440. “Earnings and The Distribution of Income,” (with R. Michael), in Part II, Behavioral and
Social Science Research, A National Resource, (National Academy of Science Press, 1982).
41. “New Methods For Analyzing Individual Event Histories,” (with C. Flinn), Sociological
Methodology, 99-140, (Josey-Bass, 1982).
42. ”New Methods for Analyzing Structural Models of Labor Force Dynamics,” (with C. Flinn),
Journal of Econometrics, 18 (1982): 115-68.
43. “Are Unemployment and out of the Labor Force Behaviorally Distinct Labor Force States?,”
(with C. Flinn), Journal of Labor Economics, 28-42, (January, 1983).
44. “The Likelihood Function For TheMultistate-MultiepisodeModel in ‘Models For The Anal-
ysis of Labor Force Dynamics’,” (with C. Flinn), in R. Bassman and G. Rhodes, (eds), Ad-
vances in Econometrics, 2, 225-231, (1983).
45. “Natural Monopoly,” (with D. Evans), in D. Evans (ed.), Breaking Up Bell: Essays on In-
dustrial Organization and Regulation, 127-156, (North Holland, 1983).
46. “Multiproduct Cost Function Estimates and Natural Monopoly Tests for the Bell System,”
(with D. Evans), in D. Evans, (ed.), Breaking Up Bell: Essays on Industrial Organization
and Regulation, Chapter 10, 253-282, (North Holland, 1983).
47. “A Method for Minimizing the Impact of Distributional Assumption in Econometric Models
for Duration Data,” (with B. Singer), Econometrica, 52(2): 271-320 (1984).
48. “The Identifiability of the Proportional Hazard Model,” (with B. Singer), Review of Eco-
nomic Studies, 231-241, (April, 1984).
49. “Population Heterogeneity in Demographic Models,” (with B. Singer), in A. Rodgers and K.
Land (eds.), Multidimensional Mathematical Demography, (1984), 271-320.
50. “Comments on the Ashenfelter and Kydland Papers,” Carnegie Rochester Conference Series
on Public Policy, (1984), 209-224.
51. “Econometric Duration Analysis,” (with B. Singer), Journal of Econometrics, (January,
1984), 63-132.
52. “The ­2
Goodness of Fit Statistic For Models with Parameters Estimated From Microdata,”
Econometrica, (November, 1984), 52(6), 1543-1547.
53. “A Test for Subadditivity of the Cost FunctionWith An Application to the U.S. Bell System,”
(with D. Evans), American Economic Review, (September, 1984), 615-623.
54. “Introduction,” (with B. Singer), Longitudinal Analysis of Labor Market Data, (Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 1985).
55. “Social Science Duration Analysis,” (with B. Singer), Longitudinal Analysis of Labor Mar-
ket Data, (University Press, 1985).
56. “A Simultaneous Equations Linear Probability Model,” (with T. MaCurdy), Canadian Jour-
nal of Economics, (January, 1985), XVIII(1), 28-37.
57. “AlternativeMethods for Estimating The Impact of Interventions,” (with R. Robb), presented
at Social Science Research Council Conference, Mt. Kisco, N.Y., October, 1978. In J.
15Heckman and B. Singer (eds.), Longitudinal Analysis of Labor Market Data, (Cambridge
University Press, 1985).
58. “Alternative Methods for Evaluating the Impact of Interventions: An Overview,” (with R.
Robb), Journal of Econometrics, 30(1-2): 239-267. (1985).
59. “New Evidence on the Timing and Spacing of Births,” (with J. Hotz and J. Walker), Ameri-
can Economic Review, (May, 1985), 179-184.
60. “Using Longitudinal Data to Estimate Age, Period and Cohort Effects in Earnings Equa-
tions,” (with R. Robb), in William M. Mason and Stephen E. Fienberg, (ed), Cohort Analy-
sis in Social Research Beyond the Identification Problem, (Springer-Verlag New York Inc.,
1985).
61. “Heterogeneity, Aggregation and Market Wage Functions: An Empirical Model of Self-
Selection in the Labor Market,” (with G. Sedlacek), Journal of Political Economy, (Decem-
ber, 1985), 93(6), 1077-1125.
62. “The Influence of Early Fertility and Subsequent Births And The Importance of Controlling
For Unobserved Heterogeneity,” (with J. Hotz and JimWalker), Bulletin of The International
Statistical Institute, (1985), 51(2).
63. “A Dynamic Model of Aggregate Output Supply, Factor Demand and Entry and Exit For A
Competitive Industry with Heterogeneous Plants,” (with V. K. Chetty), Journal of Econo-
metrics, (1986), 33, No.1/2, 237-262.
64. “Labor Econometrics,” (with T. MaCurdy), in Z. Griliches and M.D. Intriligator (ed), Hand-
book of Econometrics, Vol. 3, Chapter 3, (Elsevier Science Publishers), (1986), 1918-1977.
65. “Econometric Analysis of Longitudinal Data,” (with B. Singer), in Z. Griliches andM.D. In-
triligator (ed), Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 3, Chapter 29, (Elsevier Science Publishers),
(1986), 1690-1763.
66. “Alternative Methods For Solving The Problem of Selection Bias in Evaluating The Impact
of Treatments on Outcomes,”’ (with R. Robb) in Howard Wainer, (ed), Drawing Inference
From Self Selected Samples, (Springer-Verlag), (1986), 63-107.
67. “The Earnings of PanamanianMales,” (with J. Hotz), Journal of Human Resources, Septem-
ber, 1986.
68. “Alternative Identifying Assumptions in Econometric Models of Selection Bias,” (with R.
Robb), in G. Rhodes, (ed), Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 5, 243-287, (JAI Press, 1986).
69. “The Importance of Bundling in a Gorman-Lancaster Model of Earnings,” Review of Eco-
nomic Studies, (1987) (with J. Scheinkman), LIV, 243-255.
70. “Female Labor Supply: A Survey,” (with M. Killingsworth), Chapter 2, in O. Ashenfelter
and R. Layard, Handbook of Labor Economics, (ed.), (North Holland, 1987).
71. “Using Goodness of Fit and Other Criteria to Choose Among Competing Duration Mod-
els: A Case Study of Hutterite Data,” (with J. Walker), Sociological Methodology, (1987),
Chapter 9, 248-307.
1672. “Selection Bias and The Economics of Self Selection,” The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of
Economics, (MacMillan Press, Stockton, New York), 287-296.
73. “Do We Need Experimental Data To Evaluate The Impact of Training on Earnings,” (with J.
Hotz and M. Dabos), Evaluation Review, (August 1987), 28(4), 397-427.
74. “Are Classical Experiments Necessary For Evaluating The Impact of Manpower Training
Programs?: A Critical Assessment,” with (J. Hotz and M. Dabos), Industrial Relations Re-
search Association: Proceedings Of The Annual Meeting, (1987), 40, 291-302.
75. “Empirical Tests of Labor Market Equilibrium: A Microeconomic Perspective,” Carnegie-
Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, (with T. MaCurdy), 28, (Spring 1988), 231-
258.
76. “Time Constraints and Household Demand Functions,” in T. P. Schultz, (ed.), Research in
Population Economics, (1988).
77. “Natural Monopoly and The Bell System: A Response to Charnes, Cooper and Sueyoshi,”
(with D. Evans), Management Science, (January, 1988), 27-38.
78. “The Value of Longitudinal Data For Evaluating The Impact of Treatments on Outcomes,”
(with R. Robb) in G. Duncan and G. Kalton, (eds.), Panel Surveys, (Wiley: New York, 1988),
512-538.
79. “The Impact of the Economy and the State on the Economic Status of Blacks: A Study of
South Carolina,” (with R. Butler and B. Payner) in D. Galenson, (ed.), Markets and Institu-
tions, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1989), 321-343.
80. “How Voluntary is Black Unemployment and Black Labor ForceWithdrawal?” inW. Darity
and S. Schulman, (eds), The Question of Discrimination: Racial Inequality in the U.S. Labor
Market, (Connecticut: Wesleyan University Press, 1989), 50-80.
81. “Determining The Impact of Federal Anti-discrimination Policy on The Economic Status of
Blacks: A Study of South Carolina,” (with B. Payner), American Economic Review, (March
1989), 79(1), 138-177.
82. “Affirmative Action and Black Employment,” Proceedings Of The Industrial Relations Re-
search Association, (1989), 41, 320-329.
83. “The Identifiability Of The Competing Risks Model,” (with Bo Honor´ e), Biometrika, (June
1989), 76(2), 325-30.
84. “Choosing Among Alternative Non-experimental Methods For Estimating The Impact of
Social Programs: The Case of Manpower Training,” (with V. J. Hotz). Symposium paper
with invited discussion, featured invited paper, American Statistical Association meeting,
Journal of the American Statistical Association, (December 1989), 84(408), 862-874.
85. “Forecasting Aggregate Period Specific Birth Rates: Time Series Properties of a Micrody-
namic Neoclassical Model of Fertility,” (with J.Walker), Journal of The American Statistical
Association, (December, 1989), 84(408), 958-965.
86. “The Empirical Content of the Roy Model,” with Bo Honore, Econometrica, (September,
1990), 58(5), 1121-1149.
1787. “Self Selection and The Distribution of Hourly Wage Rates,” with (G. Sedlacek), Journal of
Labor Economics, (January 1990), 8(1), Part 2, S329-S363.
88. “Causal Inference and Nonrandom Samples,” Symposium on Selection Bias Models, Journal
of Educational Statistics, 14(2), (Summer 1989), 159-168, reprinted in J. Schaeffer, (ed.),
The Role of Models in Non-experimental Social Science: Two Debates, 1991.
89. “The Third Birth in Sweden,” (with J. Walker), Journal of Population Economics, (1990),
3(4), 235-275.
90. “A Method of Moments Estimator for The Mixing Distribution of a Mixture of Exponentials
Model and A Mixture of Geometrics Model,” presented at IC2 Conference, Durham, N.C.,
(May 1988), in W. Barnett, J. Powell and G. Tauchen, (eds.), Nonparametric Estimation of
Econometric Models, (Cambridge: Cambridge University, 1990).
91. “Estimating Fecundability fromData onWaiting Times to First Conceptions,” (with J.Walker),
The Journal of the American Statistical Association, (June, 1990), 85(410), 283-294.
92. “The Relationship Between Wages and Income and the Timing and Spacing of Births: Evi-
dence from Swedish Longitudinal Data,” (with J.Walker), Econometrica, (November, 1990),
58(6), 235-275.
93. “A Nonparametric Method of Moments Estimator for the Mixture of Geometrics Model,” in
J. Hartog, et. al., Panel Data and Labor Market Studies, (North Holland, 1990).
94. “Economic Models of Fertility Dynamics: A Study of Swedish Fertility,” (with J. Walker),
in T. P. Schultz, (ed.), Research in Population Economics, (Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, 1990),
Vol. 7, 3-91.
95. “Testing The Mixture of Exponentials Hypothesis and Estimating The Mixing Distribution
by the Method of Moments,” (with R. Robb and J. Walker), Journal of The American Statis-
tical Association, (June 1990), 85(410), 582-589.
96. “The Impact of The Great Society on Social Science,” Journal of Human Resources, (Spring,
1990), 25(2), 297-304.
97. “Understanding The Economic Progress of Black Americans,” in Business in the Contempo-
rary World, (Summer 1990), 19-22.
98. “The Central Role of the South in Accounting For The Economic Progress of Black Ameri-
cans,” Papers and Proceedings Of The American Economic Association, (May 1990), 80(2),
242-246.
99. “Varieties of Selection Bias,” American Economic Review, (May 1990), 80(2), 313-318.
100. “Racial Disparity and Employment Discrimination Law: An Economic Perspective” and
“Rejoinder,” (with R. Verkerke), Yale Law and Policy Review, (Summer 1990), 8(2), 276-298.