主 题：Driving Restriction, Air Pollution, and
Adaptation
主讲人：Jingjing Ye
摘 要：Driving restriction policy
(DRP) has been adopted worldwide to curb traffic congestion and air pollution.
However, the empirical evidence on its effectiveness in improving air quality
is still mixed (e.g. Davis 2008 and Lin et al 2011). One possible reason is
that individuals may ultimately adapt driving pattern to the restricted driving
schedule. This paper addresses this possibility based on hourly measures of air
pollutants from monitoring stations at Nanchang, where its existing
plate-number based DRP has recently been upgraded to emission based DRP.
Across all pollutants, we find strong and consistent evidence of improved air quality before and after the announcement of such policy change. Nevertheless, the effect disappears after the policy is implemented, because agent anticipates and alters behavior prior to actual treatment. Results suggest that adaptation may occur not only by adjusting travel time using existing high emission vehicles, but also through upgrading to low emission vehicles.
关于Jingjing Ye: 西南财经大学,助理教授
时 间：2015年12月9日星期三13:30-14:50
地 点：学术会堂南楼608室
主办单位：人力资本与劳动经济研究中心
